Análisis Willem II vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 1982 |
HFC
2 - 0
WIL
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 3
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 1982 |
GAE
1 - 1
WIL
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1982 |
HEL
2 - 1
WIL
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 1982 |
NAC
2 - 1
AZA
13%
21%
66%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1982 |
RJC
0 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 2
ZWO
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1982 |
TWE
4 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
56%
26%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |