Análisis Willem II vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 jul. 2012 |
OMO
2 - 0
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 1
SPA
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 4
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
ZWO
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2012 |
WIL
5 - 0
APE
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
90%
8%
2%
|
78 | 12 | 66 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2012 |
KAT
0 - 0
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 2
RKC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |