Análisis Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 dic. 2007 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRA
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 dic. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2007 |
WIL
6 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 dic. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 2
VVV
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 2
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 dic. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 0
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
SCH
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |