Análisis Winterthur vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 0
WIN
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2001 |
WIN
2 - 1
YOB
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2001 |
YVE
1 - 2
WIN
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2001 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2000 |
WIN
3 - 0
YOB
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2001 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCA
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2001 |
FCA
0 - 0
YVE
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2001 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2001 |
FCA
0 - 2
BEL
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 dic. 2000 |
YVE
3 - 3
FCA
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |