Análisis Winterthur vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2004 |
YVE
2 - 1
WIN
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2004 |
MAL
2 - 1
WIN
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 0
MAL
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 may. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 1
YVE
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2004 |
YVE
2 - 1
WIN
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2004 |
LUG
3 - 2
YFJ
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2003 |
LUG
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 2002 |
LUG
0 - 1
WIN
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2002 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
30%
25%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 1
SCH
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |