Análisis XV de Piracicaba vs Grêmio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
15.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 1978 |
SAO
4 - 2
XVD
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1977 |
CRZ
2 - 0
XVD
79%
14%
8%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -2 |
| 07 dic. 1977 |
XVD
1 - 0
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 dic. 1977 |
XVD
3 - 0
MAR
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 dic. 1977 |
ABC
1 - 0
XVD
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 1978 |
GRE
1 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1977 |
GRE
2 - 3
SAN
57%
25%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1977 |
GRE
2 - 0
GUA
57%
26%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 1977 |
ATM
3 - 1
GRE
56%
24%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1977 |
AME
0 - 0
GRE
16%
22%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |