Análisis XV de Piracicaba vs Paulista
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ago. 2025 |
PRI
0 - 2
XVD
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 2025 |
XVD
1 - 0
GSP
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
XVD
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2025 |
XVD
2 - 1
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2025 |
PAU
0 - 1
XVD
18%
23%
58%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ago. 2025 |
PAU
2 - 1
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2025 |
PRI
2 - 0
PAU
74%
17%
8%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 jul. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAU
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 jul. 2025 |
PAU
1 - 0
GSP
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2025 |
PAU
0 - 1
XVD
18%
23%
58%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |