Copa México - Apertura Jor. 3

Análisis Zacatepec vs Toluca

Zacatepec Toluca
65 ELO 84
4.3% Tilt -5%
22786º Ranking ELO general 327º
151º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
18.3%
Zacatepec
23.5%
Empate
58.2%
Toluca

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Zacatepec
0.86
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Toluca
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Zacatepec
Toluca
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Zacatepec
Zacatepec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 ago. 2015
LOB
Lobos BUAP
2 - 1
Zacatepec
CAÑ
59%
24%
17%
65 70 5 0
05 ago. 2015
CAÑ
Zacatepec
1 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
23%
23%
55%
66 80 14 -1
01 ago. 2015
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 - 1
Zacatepec
CAÑ
21%
27%
52%
66 50 16 0
29 jul. 2015
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 1
Zacatepec
CAÑ
72%
18%
11%
66 80 14 0
26 jul. 2015
CAÑ
Zacatepec
3 - 2
Celaya
TOR
51%
25%
24%
65 62 3 +1

Partidos

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 ago. 2015
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
64%
22%
14%
84 78 6 0
13 ago. 2015
PUE
Puebla
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
41%
27%
32%
84 80 4 0
09 ago. 2015
TOL
Toluca
0 - 1
CA Morelia
MOR
59%
22%
18%
84 78 6 0
06 ago. 2015
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
17%
26%
57%
84 64 20 0
02 ago. 2015
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
63%
22%
15%
84 77 7 0