Análisis Zeta vs Mogren
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2007 |
MLA
0 - 4
ZET
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
ZET
4 - 0
PET
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
GRB
2 - 3
ZET
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2007 |
ZET
1 - 0
RUD
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2007 |
ZET
5 - 1
JED
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2007 |
MOG
0 - 0
BUD
34%
28%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
DEC
2 - 0
MOG
40%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
MOG
0 - 0
BER
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2007 |
SUT
1 - 2
MOG
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2007 |
MOG
2 - 0
KOM
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |