Análisis 1º Dezembro vs Caldas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+82%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 1
1DE
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 1
MOU
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
1DE
0 - 0
ORI
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 0
1DE
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 1
TOR
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
Partidos
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
ORI
21%
25%
54%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
TOU
4 - 0
CAL
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 3
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |