Análisis Portuguesa vs Duque de Caxias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ABC
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 3
POR
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2009 |
ARN
4 - 0
POR
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
CEA
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
ABC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2009 |
DUQ
5 - 1
ATL
28%
25%
46%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 oct. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 0
DUQ
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
42%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |