Análisis AA Alvorada vs Paraíso EC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AA Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 2006 |
AAA
0 - 1
PAL
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2006 |
AAA
0 - 2
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2006 |
TOC
1 - 3
AAA
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 2006 |
GUR
2 - 3
AAA
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 mar. 2006 |
AAA
1 - 1
ARA
27%
24%
50%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | +1 |
Partidos
Paraíso EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 3
TOC
31%
25%
43%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2006 |
CEC
3 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 1
TMI
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 3
PAL
33%
26%
42%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2006 |
ARA
2 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |