Análisis AA Alvorada vs Tocantinópolis
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AA Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2005 |
INT
1 - 1
AAA
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2005 |
CEC
3 - 0
AAA
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2005 |
AAA
3 - 3
MEC
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2005 |
AAA
3 - 0
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 abr. 2005 |
PAL
7 - 0
AAA
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
Partidos
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2005 |
TOC
2 - 1
ARA
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2005 |
TOC
3 - 1
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2005 |
CAT
1 - 1
TOC
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2005 |
INT
3 - 2
TOC
58%
21%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2005 |
TOC
3 - 0
CEC
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |