Análisis ABC vs Portuguesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.4%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
46.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 3
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
ABC
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 jul. 2009 |
ABC
0 - 4
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 jul. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
ABC
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 2009 |
POR
4 - 3
GUA
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ARN
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
POR
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 jul. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ATL
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 jul. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |