Análisis Cesena vs Varese
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.23
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
CES
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
CES
3 - 2
RIM
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
ACL
0 - 0
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
CES
2 - 1
ASL
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 3
CES
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 2
PRO
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
REG
3 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPA
41%
30%
30%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACL
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |