Análisis Cesena vs Genoa

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

41.1%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%

26.4%

Empate

0-0

7.6%

1-1

12.6%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.4%

32.5%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

+2%

+4%

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Cesena

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 sep. 1999	FCS 1 - 1 CES 19% 26% 55%	0	0	0	0
12 sep. 1999	TRE 2 - 1 CES 55% 25% 20%	0	0	0	0
05 sep. 1999	SAL 1 - 1 CES 65% 22% 14%	0	0	0	0
01 sep. 1999	CES 1 - 1 PAL 64% 22% 15%	0	0	0	0
29 ago. 1999	CES 0 - 0 PES 44% 26% 30%	0	0	0	0

Partidos

Genoa

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 sep. 1999	GEN 5 - 1 EMP 50% 24% 25%	0	0	0	0
12 sep. 1999	GEN 1 - 2 PES 54% 24% 23%	0	0	0	0
05 sep. 1999	VIC 1 - 1 GEN 64% 20% 15%	0	0	0	0
01 sep. 1999	ACL 0 - 2 GEN 17% 22% 61%	0	0	0	0
29 ago. 1999	GEN 2 - 0 TER 68% 19% 13%	0	0	0	0