Análisis Alcorcón vs Almería
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 3
ALC
51%
28%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 2
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 2021 |
RAY
1 - 0
ALC
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALC
50%
29%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 ago. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
FUE
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2021 |
PON
1 - 0
ALM
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
MAL
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2021 |
SDA
2 - 1
ALM
10%
20%
70%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
OVI
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 3
ALM
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |