Análisis Alcorcón vs Gimnàstic Tarragona
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
26%
30%
44%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 2011 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
45%
28%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
REC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
SAB
1 - 0
ALC
27%
30%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2011 |
GIM
5 - 0
SAB
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 0
GIM
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2011 |
ALM
3 - 1
GIM
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 1
HER
24%
29%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 2
GIM
71%
20%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |