Análisis AD Llerenense vs Guareña
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.81
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+62%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2014 |
ADL
0 - 0
UCL
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 0
ADL
29%
22%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
ADL
5 - 3
OLY
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2014 |
CDT
2 - 2
ADL
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2014 |
CDB
1 - 2
ADL
22%
21%
58%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
OLY
19%
22%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2014 |
CDT
2 - 2
GUA
69%
17%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
VIL
7 - 2
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
CDB
30%
23%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 3
UDF
22%
22%
56%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |