Análisis Ajax vs Den Bosch
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
90%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.53
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
7.1%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 1986 |
OLP
1 - 1
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1986 |
FEY
2 - 3
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 1986 |
AJA
3 - 0
UTR
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 6
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1986 |
AJA
4 - 0
OLP
94%
4%
2%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 1986 |
BOS
3 - 1
FOR
54%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1986 |
BVV
1 - 2
BOS
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1986 |
BOS
0 - 1
GAE
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 1
BOS
72%
17%
12%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1986 |
BOS
1 - 2
PSV
17%
24%
59%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |