Análisis Ajax vs Utrecht
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.18
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.1%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1981 |
TWE
3 - 0
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1981 |
AJA
6 - 1
MVV
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 1981 |
UTR
0 - 1
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 3
UTR
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 may. 1981 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 may. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 3
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 0
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |