Análisis Ajax vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2020 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
15%
19%
67%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2020 |
MID
1 - 2
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 2
FOR
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
AJA
43%
22%
36%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2020 |
VVV
0 - 13
AJA
8%
15%
78%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2020 |
VVV
3 - 2
HER
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2020 |
HER
4 - 1
UTR
25%
23%
52%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 2020 |
HER
3 - 0
TEL
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 1
HER
35%
25%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 2020 |
HER
0 - 1
RKC
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |