Análisis Ajax vs Independiente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.71
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.8%
Empate
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.8%
7.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 1972 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
3%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1972 |
FEY
2 - 0
AJA
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1972 |
AJA
4 - 0
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1972 |
IND
1 - 1
AJA
50%
23%
27%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 1972 |
PSV
0 - 3
AJA
34%
28%
38%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 1972 |
IND
2 - 0
BAN
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1972 |
ARG
0 - 0
IND
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1972 |
IND
4 - 1
GLP
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1972 |
IND
1 - 1
AJA
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1972 |
IND
1 - 0
COL
61%
21%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |