Análisis Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.91
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.4%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 1976 |
RJC
2 - 3
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
AMS
83%
11%
6%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1976 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
64%
19%
17%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1976 |
AJA
4 - 0
GAE
82%
11%
6%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1976 |
TEL
0 - 0
AJA
25%
26%
50%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 1976 |
NEC
3 - 0
SPA
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1976 |
ADO
2 - 1
NEC
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1976 |
NEC
0 - 1
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 nov. 1976 |
HFC
1 - 1
NEC
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |