Análisis Alcoyano vs Constància
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
9.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
+34%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2012 |
SMR
1 - 2
ALC
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
UES
64%
22%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 oct. 2012 |
REU
0 - 2
ALC
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
PRA
68%
20%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2012 |
YEC
1 - 3
ALC
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
HUR
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
MEL
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
CON
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
ONT
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
VIL
15%
23%
62%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |