Análisis Alcoyano vs CD Lugo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.39
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 nov. 1986 |
GAN
1 - 1
ALC
32%
33%
36%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 1986 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDT
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1986 |
BAL
1 - 0
ALC
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 nov. 1986 |
ALC
2 - 1
ATB
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 nov. 1986 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAD
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 nov. 1986 |
LUG
2 - 1
CDO
32%
33%
36%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 1986 |
ALB
2 - 1
LUG
79%
16%
5%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1986 |
LUG
0 - 0
GRA
24%
30%
45%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1986 |
CCF
3 - 2
LUG
78%
16%
6%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1986 |
LUG
1 - 0
SLA
25%
33%
43%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +1 |