Análisis Alemania Sub21 vs Marruecos Sub21
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania Sub21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 1991 |
ENG
2 - 1
GER
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1991 |
GER
2 - 0
BGR
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1991 |
GER
3 - 1
BEL
67%
19%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 1991 |
GER
1 - 1
SUN
83%
13%
4%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1990 |
GER
4 - 1
SUI
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Marruecos Sub21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESP
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 0
MAR
63%
19%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |