Copa Perú Etapas Finales. Semifinal
Global 3-3
Análisis Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Alianza Universidad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
35.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-26%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 2018 |
AUN
2 - 0
ALF
49%
22%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2014 |
MAN
5 - 0
ALF
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 2
DEF
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 2
ALF
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 nov. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 1
LOS
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 2018 |
AUN
2 - 0
ALF
49%
22%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2016 |
AUN
0 - 1
LOS
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 nov. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
AUN
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 nov. 2016 |
AUN
0 - 0
CIE
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
AUN
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |