Análisis Alhaurín de la Torre vs CD Nerja Fundación
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
-59%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2012 |
ARE
2 - 1
ALH
26%
26%
48%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
ALH
3 - 0
CAS
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALH
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
ALH
0 - 0
PAL
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALH
57%
23%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2012 |
NER
3 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
RON
1 - 1
NER
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
NER
0 - 1
MAN
30%
27%
43%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 0
NER
30%
25%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
NER
1 - 0
UDS
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |