Análisis Alicante vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 1
ALI
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 1
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2003 |
ALI
4 - 2
SAB
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2003 |
LLE
1 - 2
ALI
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2003 |
ALI
0 - 1
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 2003 |
HER
0 - 1
MLL
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2003 |
CEM
1 - 0
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 mar. 2003 |
HER
3 - 0
FCB
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 2003 |
RCD
2 - 1
HER
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 feb. 2003 |
HER
1 - 1
REU
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |