Análisis Arganda vs Aviación
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.69
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.3%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 1985 |
ALC
6 - 1
ARG
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1985 |
ARG
2 - 1
FUE
50%
25%
25%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 may. 1985 |
SEG
6 - 1
ARG
77%
16%
8%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 1985 |
ARG
2 - 3
AZU
40%
27%
33%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1985 |
RMC
2 - 0
ARG
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |