Análisis Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+21%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
ARB
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2012 |
ARB
3 - 1
CHE
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
UNT
5 - 0
ARB
38%
26%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
OFC
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
HEI
2 - 1
ARB
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2012 |
CZJ
2 - 1
DAR
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2012 |
VFR
4 - 1
CZJ
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
CZJ
2 - 0
OSN
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
STU
3 - 0
CZJ
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 0
CZJ
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |