Premier League Jor. 32

Análisis Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Aston Villa Arsenal
86 ELO 87
33.8% Tilt 19%
32º Ranking ELO general
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
64.8%
Aston Villa
17.4%
Empate
17.8%
Arsenal

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.8%
Probabilidad gana
Aston Villa
2.61
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.4%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17.8%
Probabilidad gana
Arsenal
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Aston Villa
-3%
+3%
Arsenal

Progresión del ELO

Aston Villa
Arsenal
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 abr. 1932
ASV
Aston Villa
5 - 0
Sheffield United
SHE
73%
15%
13%
85 82 3 0
16 abr. 1932
DER
Derby County
3 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
52%
21%
28%
86 81 5 -1
09 abr. 1932
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
73%
14%
13%
85 82 3 +1
02 abr. 1932
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
38%
23%
39%
85 79 6 0
28 mar. 1932
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
78%
13%
9%
85 79 6 0

Partidos

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 abr. 1932
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
44%
21%
34%
87 79 8 0
16 abr. 1932
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
60%
20%
21%
87 85 2 0
09 abr. 1932
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
48%
22%
30%
87 80 7 0
06 abr. 1932
SUN
Sunderland
2 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
48%
22%
30%
88 79 9 -1
02 abr. 1932
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
74%
15%
11%
88 78 10 0
X