Análisis Astur vs Narcea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 2000 |
PIL
2 - 2
AST
51%
26%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2000 |
AST
5 - 1
LEA
20%
25%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +4 |
| 27 feb. 2000 |
NAV
1 - 0
AST
56%
24%
20%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 feb. 2000 |
AST
2 - 0
NAI
44%
26%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 2000 |
AST
1 - 0
UNI
32%
27%
41%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 2000 |
NAR
2 - 1
UNI
26%
29%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2000 |
LLA
2 - 1
NAR
59%
23%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2000 |
NAR
2 - 1
UPL
11%
23%
67%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +3 |
| 20 feb. 2000 |
AND
2 - 0
NAR
28%
29%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2000 |
NAR
0 - 0
RTI
27%
29%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |