Análisis At. Cortegana vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Cortegana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 1994 |
AGD
0 - 1
ATC
48%
27%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1994 |
ATC
0 - 0
POZ
50%
26%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1994 |
ATC
1 - 0
MAI
54%
25%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 oct. 1994 |
ICR
4 - 0
ATC
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 1994 |
ATC
2 - 1
JER
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 1994 |
LUC
2 - 1
ICR
25%
27%
48%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1994 |
JER
2 - 0
LUC
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 1994 |
LUC
0 - 0
CCF
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1994 |
BAL
2 - 0
LUC
67%
21%
13%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1994 |
LUC
2 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |