Copa del Rey 1/16

Global 8-3

Análisis Athletic vs Celta

Athletic Celta
84 ELO 76
3.8% Tilt -4.5%
20º Ranking ELO general 59º
Ranking ELO país 13º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
64.2%
Athletic
17.9%
Empate
17.9%
Celta

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Athletic
2.51
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
17.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
Celta
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Athletic
-2%
+1%
Celta

Progresión del ELO

Athletic
Celta
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Athletic
Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 dic. 1928
CEL
Celta
2 - 1
Athletic
ATH
49%
22%
28%
84 76 8 0
08 abr. 1928
RAC
Racing
2 - 0
Athletic
ATH
38%
24%
38%
84 70 14 0
01 abr. 1928
ATH
Athletic
3 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
65%
18%
17%
84 79 5 0
25 mar. 1928
ATH
Athletic
0 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
78%
13%
9%
84 69 15 0
18 mar. 1928
RSG
RSG Torrelavega
1 - 3
Athletic
ATH
21%
24%
55%
84 46 38 0

Partidos

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 dic. 1928
CEL
Celta
2 - 1
Athletic
ATH
49%
22%
28%
76 84 8 0
29 abr. 1928
RSO
Real Sociedad
3 - 0
Celta
CEL
56%
20%
24%
77 78 1 -1
15 abr. 1928
CEL
Celta
2 - 1
Real Sociedad
RSO
58%
20%
22%
77 79 2 0
08 abr. 1928
CEL
Celta
7 - 1
Racing De Sama
RAC
88%
8%
4%
77 34 43 0
01 abr. 1928
RUD
Real Unión Deportiva
1 - 8
Celta
CEL
15%
19%
66%
77 22 55 0