Análisis Atlético de Lugones vs Unión Comercial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-35%
+43%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
LUA
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
PRA
3 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
SMA
40%
25%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
URR
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2009 |
COM
2 - 2
LEN
30%
25%
45%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
LUA
3 - 1
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
AND
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
PRA
1 - 1
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |