Análisis Atlético de Lugones vs Unión Comercial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+90%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 2011 |
URR
1 - 3
ATL
39%
27%
35%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 0
ATL
24%
27%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 1
AST
61%
22%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
COV
2 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
LEN
32%
26%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2011 |
SIE
3 - 0
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 may. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
NAR
0 - 2
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 may. 2011 |
COM
1 - 3
AST
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |