Análisis Atlético vs Recreativo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
84.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.9
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 1979 |
BUR
0 - 1
ATM
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1979 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATH
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 0
ATM
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 1979 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 1979 |
REC
1 - 1
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1979 |
CEL
3 - 2
REC
62%
23%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1979 |
REC
3 - 1
HER
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 1979 |
REC
1 - 5
BUR
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 1979 |
ATH
5 - 3
REC
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |