Análisis At. Malagueño vs Maracena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+28%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2015 |
ALQ
0 - 3
MAL
17%
23%
60%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 3
VEL
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 3
MAL
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 2015 |
MAL
3 - 1
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 oct. 2015 |
ALH
2 - 2
MAL
23%
25%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDE
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2015 |
ALQ
3 - 2
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
COM
46%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
RIV
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |