Copa Colombia . Octavos
Global 3-2
Análisis At. Nacional vs Real Cartagena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ago. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
IVT
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 jul. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
NAC
18%
27%
55%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 jul. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2016 |
RSC
0 - 2
CAR
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 jul. 2016 |
PER
2 - 1
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 jul. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
BOG
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 jul. 2016 |
LEO
4 - 0
CAR
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |