Análisis Atl. Tucumán vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
ATT
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 1
IRV
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 1
ATT
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
ATT
2 - 3
BUC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
GBR
0 - 2
ATT
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ALD
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
HUR
1 - 0
MER
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
RIV
23%
30%
47%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 0
MER
60%
24%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |