Análisis Aucas vs Dep. Quito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 1
AUC
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
AUC
1 - 0
ESP
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 0
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2004 |
AUC
1 - 0
CUE
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 feb. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 2
AUC
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 1
AUC
55%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 0
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 2
OLM
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
QUI
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 feb. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |