Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
21%
Probabilidad gana
0.94
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.68
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2003 |
RBC
0 - 0
AZA
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2003 |
AZA
1 - 1
ZWO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2003 |
RKC
2 - 0
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2003 |
AZA
3 - 1
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2003 |
AZA
2 - 0
UTR
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 2
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2003 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2003 |
FEY
1 - 0
AJA
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 0
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |