Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 may. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 0
AZA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 may. 2003 |
AZA
3 - 2
WIL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 may. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 2
AZA
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2003 |
AZA
1 - 3
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 may. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 4
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2003 |
PSV
7 - 0
EXC
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 4
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 0
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |