Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs De Graafschap
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
78.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
15%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
AZA
16%
23%
61%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2011 |
SCH
5 - 1
AZA
34%
25%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 nov. 2011 |
MFF
0 - 0
AZA
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 0
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
AZA
3 - 0
ADO
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 dic. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 2
RJC
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2011 |
VVV
1 - 2
GRA
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
PSV
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 0
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 1
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |