Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 2020 |
KVM
1 - 5
AZA
24%
23%
52%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2019 |
SPA
3 - 0
AZA
13%
20%
67%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 2019 |
AZA
3 - 0
GRO
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 2019 |
MUD
4 - 0
AZA
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 2
HIB
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 0
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 2
WIL
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
WIL
83%
12%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |