Análisis Barcelona vs Espanyol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.7%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.54
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 2009 |
DYN
1 - 2
FCB
8%
15%
77%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2009 |
DEP
1 - 3
FCB
18%
24%
58%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2009 |
XER
0 - 2
FCB
13%
21%
67%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 0
RMA
66%
19%
16%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2009 |
FCB
2 - 0
INT
70%
18%
12%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 4
RAC
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
ATM
4 - 0
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
GET
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 nov. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 1
GET
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESP
40%
27%
33%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |