Análisis Basel vs Lille
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
FEY
32%
22%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2004 |
BAS
3 - 3
THU
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
GCZ
2 - 3
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2004 |
FTC
1 - 2
BAS
38%
27%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2005 |
LIL
3 - 2
LEN
52%
27%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 0
SOC
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 0
LIL
30%
29%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
34%
30%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 1
LYO
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |