Análisis Basel vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.13
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 2006 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BAS
36%
24%
40%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
STG
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2006 |
NEX
1 - 5
BAS
22%
23%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 5
BAS
22%
23%
54%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
NEX
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 2006 |
THU
1 - 0
YVE
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2006 |
SCH
2 - 3
THU
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2006 |
GCZ
3 - 1
THU
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2006 |
THU
3 - 1
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 1
THU
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |